{
 "status": "ok",
 "source_claim_store": "data/cache/intel_claims/nba_lineup_context_claims.jsonl",
 "metric": "net_rating_delta = net_rating_on_per48 - net_rating_off_per48",
 "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim.",
 "seasons": {
  "2024_25": {
   "status": "ok",
   "question": "Which NBA players' teams have the biggest net-rating swing between them on vs. off the floor (1230-game 2024_25 slice)?",
   "formula": "net_rating_on_per48 - net_rating_off_per48",
   "min_sample": {
    "min_on": 500.0,
    "min_off": 300.0,
    "n_games": 30
   },
   "n_considered": 653,
   "n_excluded_below_floor": 300,
   "n_ranked": 353,
   "distribution": {
    "n": 353,
    "min": -19.206,
    "p25": -4.486,
    "median": 0.195,
    "p75": 4.031,
    "max": 23.713,
    "mean": 0.0319
   },
   "top_15": [
    {
     "rank": 1,
     "player_id": 203999,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Nikola Joki\u0107",
     "net_rating_delta": 23.713,
     "min_on": 2570.89,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 2,
     "player_id": 1629627,
     "team_id": 1610612740,
     "player_name": "Zion Williamson",
     "net_rating_delta": 15.772,
     "min_on": 857.25,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 3,
     "player_id": 1628983,
     "team_id": 1610612760,
     "player_name": "Shai Gilgeous-Alexander",
     "net_rating_delta": 15.763,
     "min_on": 2597.69,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 4,
     "player_id": 1628381,
     "team_id": 1610612762,
     "player_name": "John Collins",
     "net_rating_delta": 15.371,
     "min_on": 1220.49,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 5,
     "player_id": 1631128,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Christian Braun",
     "net_rating_delta": 15.208,
     "min_on": 2675.32,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 6,
     "player_id": 1627827,
     "team_id": 1610612747,
     "player_name": "Dorian Finney-Smith",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.944,
     "min_on": 1241.6,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 7,
     "player_id": 1630549,
     "team_id": 1610612751,
     "player_name": "Day'Ron Sharpe",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.902,
     "min_on": 909.24,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 8,
     "player_id": 203507,
     "team_id": 1610612749,
     "player_name": "Giannis Antetokounmpo",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.231,
     "min_on": 2288.66,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 9,
     "player_id": 1626158,
     "team_id": 1610612764,
     "player_name": "Richaun Holmes",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.126,
     "min_on": 534.15,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 10,
     "player_id": 1630532,
     "team_id": 1610612753,
     "player_name": "Franz Wagner",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.851,
     "min_on": 2023.32,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 11,
     "player_id": 1631243,
     "team_id": 1610612737,
     "player_name": "Mouhamed Gueye",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.562,
     "min_on": 532.76,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 12,
     "player_id": 1628366,
     "team_id": 1610612741,
     "player_name": "Lonzo Ball",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.374,
     "min_on": 777.02,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 13,
     "player_id": 1627750,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Jamal Murray",
     "net_rating_delta": 12.827,
     "min_on": 2418.39,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 14,
     "player_id": 1627826,
     "team_id": 1610612746,
     "player_name": "Ivica Zubac",
     "net_rating_delta": 11.965,
     "min_on": 2624.41,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 15,
     "player_id": 1630552,
     "team_id": 1610612737,
     "player_name": "Jalen Johnson",
     "net_rating_delta": 11.785,
     "min_on": 1284.18,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    }
   ],
   "bottom_15": [
    {
     "rank": 353,
     "player_id": 1641854,
     "team_id": 1610612739,
     "player_name": "Craig Porter Jr.",
     "net_rating_delta": -19.206,
     "min_on": 513.27,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 352,
     "player_id": 1629611,
     "team_id": 1610612746,
     "player_name": "Terance Mann",
     "net_rating_delta": -14.994,
     "min_on": 732.25,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 351,
     "player_id": 1627749,
     "team_id": 1610612740,
     "player_name": "Dejounte Murray",
     "net_rating_delta": -14.5,
     "min_on": 1012.15,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 350,
     "player_id": 1628398,
     "team_id": 1610612764,
     "player_name": "Kyle Kuzma",
     "net_rating_delta": -14.258,
     "min_on": 886.94,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 349,
     "player_id": 201599,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "DeAndre Jordan",
     "net_rating_delta": -14.037,
     "min_on": 690.67,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 348,
     "player_id": 203083,
     "team_id": 1610612755,
     "player_name": "Andre Drummond",
     "net_rating_delta": -13.103,
     "min_on": 750.69,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 347,
     "player_id": 1630556,
     "team_id": 1610612742,
     "player_name": "Kessler Edwards",
     "net_rating_delta": -13.001,
     "min_on": 608.37,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 346,
     "player_id": 1628418,
     "team_id": 1610612754,
     "player_name": "Thomas Bryant",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.319,
     "min_on": 846.96,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 345,
     "player_id": 1631124,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Julian Strawther",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.268,
     "min_on": 1383.6,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 344,
     "player_id": 203078,
     "team_id": 1610612756,
     "player_name": "Bradley Beal",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.044,
     "min_on": 1702.19,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 343,
     "player_id": 1641765,
     "team_id": 1610612742,
     "player_name": "Olivier-Maxence Prosper",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.946,
     "min_on": 583.98,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 342,
     "player_id": 1629111,
     "team_id": 1610612745,
     "player_name": "Jock Landale",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.562,
     "min_on": 500.09,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 341,
     "player_id": 1641716,
     "team_id": 1610612754,
     "player_name": "Jarace Walker",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.437,
     "min_on": 1185.01,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 340,
     "player_id": 1631170,
     "team_id": 1610612748,
     "player_name": "Jaime Jaquez Jr.",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.268,
     "min_on": 1368.4,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 339,
     "player_id": 1642263,
     "team_id": 1610612745,
     "player_name": "Reed Sheppard",
     "net_rating_delta": -10.938,
     "min_on": 653.08,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    }
   ],
   "caveats": [
    "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY until an earned predictive-validity receipt says otherwise.",
    "net_rating_delta = net_rating_on_per48 - net_rating_off_per48 from data/cache/team_system/lineups/on_off_2024_25.parquet (stint-level attribution, 1230-game 2024_25 PBP corpus).",
    "FULL POPULATION above floor, no top-N cap. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY -- NOT a gate, no market/$ edge claimed."
   ]
  },
  "2025_26": {
   "status": "ok",
   "question": "Which NBA players' teams have the biggest net-rating swing between them on vs. off the floor (196-game 2025_26 slice)?",
   "formula": "net_rating_on_per48 - net_rating_off_per48",
   "min_sample": {
    "min_on": 500.0,
    "min_off": 300.0,
    "n_games": 30
   },
   "n_considered": 686,
   "n_excluded_below_floor": 336,
   "n_ranked": 350,
   "distribution": {
    "n": 350,
    "min": -24.09,
    "p25": -3.678,
    "median": 0.127,
    "p75": 3.485,
    "max": 17.043,
    "mean": 0.1054
   },
   "top_15": [
    {
     "rank": 1,
     "player_id": 1641705,
     "team_id": 1610612759,
     "player_name": "Victor Wembanyama",
     "net_rating_delta": 17.043,
     "min_on": 2489.02,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 2,
     "player_id": 203999,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Nikola Joki\u0107",
     "net_rating_delta": 16.504,
     "min_on": 2118.92,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 3,
     "player_id": 203932,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Aaron Gordon",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.853,
     "min_on": 892.65,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 4,
     "player_id": 203507,
     "team_id": 1610612749,
     "player_name": "Giannis Antetokounmpo",
     "net_rating_delta": 14.349,
     "min_on": 1039.23,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 5,
     "player_id": 203468,
     "team_id": 1610612737,
     "player_name": "CJ McCollum",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.751,
     "min_on": 1228.56,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 6,
     "player_id": 202695,
     "team_id": 1610612746,
     "player_name": "Kawhi Leonard",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.282,
     "min_on": 1894.69,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 7,
     "player_id": 1631105,
     "team_id": 1610612765,
     "player_name": "Jalen Duren",
     "net_rating_delta": 13.142,
     "min_on": 1733.85,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 8,
     "player_id": -4433174,
     "team_id": 1610612758,
     "player_name": "Dylan Cardwell",
     "net_rating_delta": 11.899,
     "min_on": 709.9,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 9,
     "player_id": 1630188,
     "team_id": 1610612741,
     "player_name": "Jalen Smith",
     "net_rating_delta": 11.838,
     "min_on": 1095.39,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 10,
     "player_id": 201950,
     "team_id": 1610612757,
     "player_name": "Jrue Holiday",
     "net_rating_delta": 11.789,
     "min_on": 1517.17,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 11,
     "player_id": 1642269,
     "team_id": 1610612758,
     "player_name": "Devin Carter",
     "net_rating_delta": 10.981,
     "min_on": 503.01,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 12,
     "player_id": 1630631,
     "team_id": 1610612752,
     "player_name": "Jose Alvarado",
     "net_rating_delta": 10.806,
     "min_on": 606.39,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 13,
     "player_id": 1642363,
     "team_id": 1610612758,
     "player_name": "Nique Clifford",
     "net_rating_delta": 10.736,
     "min_on": 1673.69,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 14,
     "player_id": 1628401,
     "team_id": 1610612738,
     "player_name": "Derrick White",
     "net_rating_delta": 10.642,
     "min_on": 2624.96,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 15,
     "player_id": 1629004,
     "team_id": 1610612762,
     "player_name": "Svi Mykhailiuk",
     "net_rating_delta": 10.588,
     "min_on": 1155.61,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    }
   ],
   "bottom_15": [
    {
     "rank": 350,
     "player_id": 1630544,
     "team_id": 1610612766,
     "player_name": "Tre Mann",
     "net_rating_delta": -24.09,
     "min_on": 655.39,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 349,
     "player_id": 1630192,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Zeke Nnaji",
     "net_rating_delta": -17.241,
     "min_on": 619.07,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 348,
     "player_id": 1630557,
     "team_id": 1610612737,
     "player_name": "Corey Kispert",
     "net_rating_delta": -16.078,
     "min_on": 688.31,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 347,
     "player_id": 1630574,
     "team_id": 1610612752,
     "player_name": "Ariel Hukporti",
     "net_rating_delta": -15.993,
     "min_on": 570.6,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 346,
     "player_id": 1630545,
     "team_id": 1610612750,
     "player_name": "Terrence Shannon Jr.",
     "net_rating_delta": -14.992,
     "min_on": 553.23,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 345,
     "player_id": 203897,
     "team_id": 1610612758,
     "player_name": "Zach LaVine",
     "net_rating_delta": -13.919,
     "min_on": 1224.26,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 344,
     "player_id": 1627747,
     "team_id": 1610612765,
     "player_name": "Caris LeVert",
     "net_rating_delta": -13.71,
     "min_on": 1032.01,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 343,
     "player_id": 202685,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Jonas Valan\u010di\u016bnas",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.802,
     "min_on": 835.28,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 342,
     "player_id": 1630811,
     "team_id": 1610612737,
     "player_name": "Keaton Wallace",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.34,
     "min_on": 504.57,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 341,
     "player_id": 1628971,
     "team_id": 1610612743,
     "player_name": "Bruce Brown",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.266,
     "min_on": 1905.1,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 340,
     "player_id": 1641712,
     "team_id": 1610612757,
     "player_name": "Rayan Rupert",
     "net_rating_delta": -12.164,
     "min_on": 577.21,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 339,
     "player_id": 1627741,
     "team_id": 1610612744,
     "player_name": "Buddy Hield",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.395,
     "min_on": 768.09,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 338,
     "player_id": 1642962,
     "team_id": 1610612751,
     "player_name": "Drake Powell",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.368,
     "min_on": 1119.08,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 337,
     "player_id": 1630191,
     "team_id": 1610612765,
     "player_name": "Isaiah Stewart",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.23,
     "min_on": 1273.39,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    },
    {
     "rank": 336,
     "player_id": 1630171,
     "team_id": 1610612741,
     "player_name": "Isaac Okoro",
     "net_rating_delta": -11.006,
     "min_on": 1622.66,
     "caveat": "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY, not a predictive or edge claim."
    }
   ],
   "caveats": [
    "ROSTER CONFOUND: this on/off delta is NOT a causal player-impact estimate -- who shares the floor with a player correlates with coach trust, opponent strength, and garbage-time usage, and none of those are controlled for here. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY until an earned predictive-validity receipt says otherwise.",
    "net_rating_delta = net_rating_on_per48 - net_rating_off_per48 from data/cache/team_system/lineups/on_off_2025_26.parquet (stint-level attribution, 196-game 2025_26 PBP corpus).",
    "FULL POPULATION above floor, no top-N cap. DESCRIPTIVE_ONLY -- NOT a gate, no market/$ edge claimed."
   ]
  }
 }
}