Demo -- read-only snapshot of the live system as of 2026-07-16T01:45:31Z; no live data, paper units only.
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descriptive only

These are historical per-period rates and splits for mlb band .2-.4, not a prediction and not an edge claim. descriptive_only: true.

as of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00
mlb band .2-.4Calibration segmentsas of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00
n
3935
mean y overall
0.1804
band reference
0.3
n time buckets with data
8
Calibration by time bucket
Time bucketN rowsObserved outcome mean
12120.4104
21640.2622
36570.1796
46910.1852
57620.2008
68320.155
74810.0457
81360.2206
sample floor -- n>=30 rows required for a checkpoint/band card to render (declared floor, not tuned to today's data)download card PNG -> docs/img/atlas/calibration/mlb_band_2_4.png

sample floor

as of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00

An entity earns a descriptive card only after clearing a minimum-sample floor, so rates are not read off tiny samples. The floor for this pack is n>=30 rows required for a checkpoint/band card to render (declared floor, not tuned to today's data). Entities below the floor are deliberately left off -- we do not print rates we cannot stand behind.

Built by Neel Shah. Every figure on this card traces to a committed JSON under webapp/public/data/showcase/. Descriptive only: no prediction, ROI, or edge is claimed. Truth source: docs/JOB_EVIDENCE_PACKET.md.