descriptive only
These are historical per-period rates and splits for mlb band .4-.6, not a prediction and not an edge claim. descriptive_only: true.
as of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00mlb band .4-.6Calibration segmentsas of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00
n
9042
mean y overall
0.493
band reference
0.5
n time buckets with data
10
| Time bucket | N rows | Observed outcome mean |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2532 | 0.4514 |
| 2 | 1903 | 0.5397 |
| 3 | 1319 | 0.4845 |
| 4 | 1262 | 0.5024 |
| 5 | 586 | 0.5819 |
| 6 | 620 | 0.4532 |
| 7 | 371 | 0.434 |
| 8 | 261 | 0.5019 |
| 9 | 162 | 0.5123 |
| 10+ | 26 | 0.6923 |
sample floor -- n>=30 rows required for a checkpoint/band card to render (declared floor, not tuned to today's data)download card PNG -> docs/img/atlas/calibration/mlb_band_4_6.png
sample floor
as of 2026-09-16T22:17:04.659068+00:00
An entity earns a descriptive card only after clearing a minimum-sample floor, so rates are not read off tiny samples. The floor for this pack is n>=30 rows required for a checkpoint/band card to render (declared floor, not tuned to today's data). Entities below the floor are deliberately left off -- we do not print rates we cannot stand behind.