It proposes signals, tests them under a leak-free gate, and keeps every null, not-testable, and retraction in the same ledger it confirms from. A system that only ever confirmed would not be credible — so it counts what it could not prove, and changes its own mind on new evidence.
confirmednull (a finding)not testabledescriptivepending
01 / ProposeDiscoverycandidate signals, no LLM259families
03 / VerdictSelf-gradedkept in the ledger, counted
verdict splits into
Verified
121
confirmed families
Graveyard
134
null, not-testable, retracted — kept, not hidden
5 families changed their own verdict on new evidence; 4 are still provisional.
The scoreboard grades every claim
259
claim families tracked
121
verified (confirmed)
134
null, not-testable, or retracted
5
with more than one recorded verdict
The scoreboard above grades forward-tested claim families; the mechanism ledger is a separate, wider census of every named mechanism. Across 287 named mechanisms: 130 confirmed, 126 null, 31 not-testable.
These families carried more than one verdict across reruns. The ledger keeps the whole sequence, not just the last word — the trail of a system re-testing itself as corpora grow.
MLBreliever 3in3d fatigueNULL LOCAL→NULL LOCAL→CONFIRMED LOCALView full history
MLBreliever 3in3d fatigue combinedPROVISIONAL→NULL LOCALView full history
MLBstaff dayafter fatigue chainNULL LOCAL→CONFIRMED LOCAL→NULL LOCALView full history
Tennisbreak point conversion by set numberNOT TESTABLE→CONFIRMED LOCALView full history
The graveyard is a feature
Every reject and defer is recorded, categorized, and counted. A discarded signal is honest market-efficiency evidence, not a failure to bury.
628
reject rows recorded
68
distinct signals on a reject verdict now
804
total verdict rows across all reruns
Top reject reasons: 510 asof reclaim sweep; 20 prescreen delta; 18 wf ablation · cumulative reaches 628 by 2026-07-18.
Published rerun history
Claim family ledger
Each family keeps its recorded reruns. Published effects are displayed with no cross-family ranking because their units are not recorded in this artifact.