Demo -- read-only snapshot of the live system as of 2026-07-16T01:45:31Z; no live data, paper units only.
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nba

The ledger row, decomposed. Every figure below is read from a staged artifact on disk (cited per panel); this drill describes calibration and sharpness only -- no dollar edge, ROI, or bankroll is claimed.

model
0.1677 (Brier)
market
0.1638 (Brier)
delta (95% ci)
-0.0040 [-0.0098, 0.0015]
n
1593

verdict UNDERPOWERED -- source scripts/platformkit/benchmarks/crps_market/last_run_ingame_nba_winprob_ALLGAMES_v3.json

No Murphy decomposition or bootstrap-CI stability is staged for this surface on this clone. Only the mlb and soccer_intl in-game corpora carry one; this row is shown from the ledger figures above.