nba
The ledger row, decomposed. Every figure below is read from a staged artifact on disk (cited per panel); this drill describes calibration and sharpness only -- no dollar edge, ROI, or bankroll is claimed.
- model
- 0.1233 (Brier)
- market
- 0.1244 (Brier)
- delta (95% ci)
- 0.0011 [-0.0028, 0.0052]
- n
- 1593
verdict UNDERPOWERED -- source scripts/platformkit/benchmarks/crps_market/last_run_ingame_nba_winprob_ALLGAMES_v3.json