Browse › Honesty exhibit: we publish our nulls
Analytics module · Snapshot generated 2026-07-22
Honesty exhibit: we publish our nulls
nulls (351) outnumber confirms (168) 2.1x -- we publish our nulls
confirmednull (a finding)not testabledescriptivepending
Honesty Exhibit
How to read this figure
Each sport row is one validation ledger file, bucketed as confirmed / null / not_testable / failed_replication / other in that order.
What it means
Across four sport ledgers plus a 1,003-row interaction-factory sweep, far more tested hypotheses came back null than confirmed. NBA logged 45 confirms against 31 nulls; MLB actually inverted, 32 confirms to 37 nulls; and the interaction factory alone recorded 239 nulls and 709 not-testable against just 38 confirms.
Caveats and confounds
The interaction-factory row is dominated by 709 not-testable entries, which are untested combinations, not evidence for or against anything.