Cross-sport / Calibration diagnostics
Model and market Brier by disagreement bucket
Published rows group model-market probability gaps and retain each side's Brier score, model-closer rate, and scored-row support.
Data integrity
These MLB/soccer numbers are revision 2, computed on the segment-clean corpus (2026-09-16). Revision 1 values are withdrawn and kept in the regeneration receipt. Segmentation excluded 51,635 of the 78,986 MLB ticks (65.4 percent); the specifically identified label mismatches were a smaller 27,076 (34.3 percent).
- market_disagreement_profile
Published measurements
Choose a measurement
Rows describe different sports and are not comparable in one ranking. Showing International soccer by default.
4 matching rows; 4 contain model brier.
CSV includes 4 matching rows, all fields, and source context; missing measurements stay blank. Published source dates and row provenance are included when available; structured provenance uses JSON cells.
- Measured rows
- 4 / 40 unavailable
- Median
- 0.1376Middle ranked value
- Middle 50%
- 0.1277 to 0.234125th to 75th percentile
- Observed range
- 0.1136 to 0.508Minimum to maximum
Summaries describe the filtered rows with equal row weight. Row counts are not independent game or event counts.
Measurement availability4 / 4 fields have values
Reference population: International soccer. 4 rows published.
Text search does not change this reference population.
Availability describes published values only. It does not establish data quality or independent game counts, and measurement windows can differ.
Showing 4 of 4 matching numeric rows. Open a row to inspect all its fields. Rankings apply only to the published subset.