Cross-sport / Uncertainty diagnostics

Cluster-bootstrap uncertainty width

Summarize how wide the published game-cluster bootstrap intervals are across reliability bins.

Derived analysis4 published rows4 fieldsSource as of 2026-09-16

Published measurements

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MeasurementPopulationOrder

Rows describe different sports and are not comparable in one ranking. Showing MLB by default.

2 matching rows; 2 contain row-weighted ci width.

CSV includes 2 matching rows, all fields, and source context; missing values stay blank.

Summaries describe the filtered rows with equal row weight. Row counts are not independent game or event counts.

Measurement availability4 / 4 fields have values

Reference population: MLB. 2 rows published.

Text search does not change this reference population.

Availability describes published values only. It does not establish data quality or independent game counts, and measurement windows can differ.

0 ppRow-weighted CI width20.15 pp

Showing 2 of 2 matching numeric rows. Open a row to inspect all its fields. Rankings apply only to the published subset.

01 / Interpretation

Wider values flag less precise reliability-bin estimates; minimum game support helps explain width.

02 / Calculation

width_b = upper_b - lower_b; weighted width = sum_b n_b width_b / sum_b n_b

Use the table to inspect available fields and the source JSON to trace the formula inputs. CSV percentage values are stored as fractions.

03 / Population & limits

Published 95% gap intervals from 1,000 game-level bootstrap resamples.

The weighted width is a descriptive summary of bin intervals, not a pooled confidence interval. It must not be read as row-independent uncertainty.

04 / Source & method references

References explain ingredients and prior methods. They do not validate this derived analysis or establish its originality.