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Read-only snapshot: model data as of 2026-07-16; paper desk record through 2026-10-22. No live data; paper units only.
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Analytics library

Cross-sport / Calibration diagnostics

Signed calibration direction

Restore the direction hidden by absolute calibration error by aggregating observed-minus-forecast gaps.

Derived analysis4 published rows5 fieldsSource as of 2026-09-16

Data integrity

These MLB/soccer numbers are revision 2, computed on the segment-clean corpus (2026-09-16). Revision 1 values are withdrawn and kept in the regeneration receipt. Segmentation excluded 51,635 of the 78,986 MLB ticks (65.4 percent); the specifically identified label mismatches were a smaller 27,076 (34.3 percent).

  • calibration_stability
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Published measurements

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Rows describe different sports and are not comparable in one ranking. Showing MLB by default.

2 matching rows; 2 contain observed-minus-forecast.

CSV includes 2 matching rows, all fields, and source context; missing measurements stay blank. Published source dates and row provenance are included when available; structured provenance uses JSON cells.

Measured rows
2 / 20 unavailable
Median
-2.75 ppMiddle ranked value
Middle 50%
-3.04 pp to -2.45 pp25th to 75th percentile
Observed range
-3.34 pp to -2.16 ppMinimum to maximum

Summaries describe the filtered rows with equal row weight. Row counts are not independent game or event counts.

Measurement availability5 / 5 fields have values

Reference population: MLB. 2 rows published.

Availability describes published values only. It does not establish data quality or independent game counts, and measurement windows can differ.

-3.34 ppObserved-minus-forecast0 pp

Showing 2 of 2 matching numeric rows. Open a row to inspect all its fields. Rankings apply only to the published subset.