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Descriptive only - a measured pattern, not a forecast.
Analytics module · Date not published.

Context splits: even the streakiest scorers barely move

Descriptive only

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confirmednull (a finding)not testabledescriptivepending
Ctx Player Splits
Ctx Player Splits chart
scripts/platformkit/analytics_showcase/out/ctx_player_splits.jsonDate not published.n not published

How to read this figure

context_sensitivity_score is the mean absolute TS% gap across the three dimensions; the per-dimension delta_ts_pct fields show which split drives it.

What it means

Each player's efficiency is sliced three ways -- top-10 vs bottom-10 defenses, home vs away, and back-to-back vs rested -- to see whose shooting is most schedule-dependent. The headline is how little moves: the single most context-sensitive of the league's workhorses averages a ~4-point TS swing, and most of the top 50 sit lower. Player efficiency is far stickier across context than the 'he's a road warrior / he feasts on tired legs' narratives suggest.

Caveats and confounds

Descriptive only: cells below 10 player-games are dropped as insufficient, first games of a team-season have unknown rest, and no opponent/lineup adjustment is applied -- raw split dispersion only, not a causal finding.