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Explainer

Reading Adjacent State Contrasts

A contrast compares neighboring published state buckets while preserving the labels and support of both rows.

Select adjacent state buckets and read the published outcome-frequency difference with the source labels still in view. The contrast is a descriptive subtraction between recorded groups. It does not establish that crossing a boundary caused the outcome to change.

Use blowout timing first when the contrast concerns score and clock. That view makes the permanent-margin condition explicit, while the contrast view keeps the comparison local to the two published buckets.

Inspect the worked example

Open state contrasts

Where to go next

Sources

webapp/public/data/showcase/why_attribution.json -> method, sports

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