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Descriptive only - a measured pattern, not a forecast.
Analytics module · Date not published.

MLB Velo Bands

The median four-seam fastball in the 2025 pull sits at 94.5 mph, with 34.78% of four-seamers landing in the 95-98 mph band and 8.0% in 98-101.

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confirmednull (a finding)not testabledescriptivepending
Mlb Velo Bands
Mlb Velo Bands chart
scripts/platformkit/analytics_showcase/out/mlb_velo_bands.jsonDate not published.n not published

How to read this figure

The band table gives each pitch type's share across mph buckets; the monthly section tracks median velocity by month to show the in-season ramp.

What it means

The modern fastball is genuinely fast: a third of four-seamers reach 95-98 mph and another 8% cross 98. Breaking and off-speed pitches live far lower on the scale, sliders around 86.4 mph and curveballs around 79.9. Velocity also ramps up over the season, the four-seam median rising 0.4 mph from a 94.2 April to a 94.6 September.

Caveats and confounds

Descriptive only; in-season velo ramp-up is a known physical effect reported as-is. Thin season-end months (Mar/Oct) fall below the per-cell floor and vanish. Nothing here is modeled, forecast, or priced.