Descriptive only — no edge claimed. These are measured team rates, not projections.
NBA teams · NBA · as of 2026-04-12
Chicago Bulls
Descriptive card · conservative measured rates.
seasons covered
3
Higher than 50% of 30 in pack
games total
240
Higher than 53% of 30 in pack
ppg latest season
115.5
Higher than 53% of 30 in pack
pace proxy latest season
103.7
Higher than 77% of 30 in pack
top contributor
Nikola Vucevic
top contributor pra /36
35.0
Higher than 48% of 30 in pack
top contributor minutes
6370.4
Higher than 42% of 30 in pack
Bars show where this card sits within its own pack (30 nba teams), by simple rank of the measured value. Higher is only higher -- no quality judgement is implied.
What stands out
- A center leads the team in minutes -- 6,370.4 of them.
- The 35 PRA-per-36 rate is a genuine primary-option box line.
- Team pace proxy of 103.7 and 115.5 points per game in the latest season.
Reading note
The 'top contributor' is the player with the most total minutes for that team across the 3-season sample, not necessarily its best or highest-scoring player. PRA-per-36 sums points, rebounds, and assists per 36 minutes -- a raw box rate, not an impact metric. ppg_latest_season and pace_proxy_latest_season are single-season figures while games_total spans three seasons, and pace_proxy is a proxy, not official possession-based pace. The manifest is descriptive_only, with no schedule, opponent, or roster-continuity adjustment.
Also measured elsewhere
All 30 team cards carry these 3 joins.
Schedule Fatigue Tax (latest season)
-0.2733 pts/100 ORtg (2025-26)
b2b_freq=0.158, b2b_games=12, descriptive composite/36=-0.0498
per-36 deltas are raw pooled means, NOT roster/opponent/minutes/home-away adjusted.; the three density classes (b2b, 3in4, 4in6) OVERLAP and are NON-additive; this formula deliberately uses b2b alone -- summing b2b+3in4+4in6 would double-count congestion.; the -1.73 pts/100 anchor is a single-corpus CONFIRMED_LOCAL effect: a DESCRIPTIVE tax, not a forecast, and not re-tested here.; b2b_ortg_effect sign is normalized to a fatigue penalty (negative), matching the negative composite_per36 delta and the mechanism framing; the receipt labels its magnitude 'rested minus b2b'.
Load-Bearing Index (most-indispensable player)
Elo on/off: Lonzo Ball (delta_winprob +0.3758); raw with/without: Jalen Smith (delta_win_rate +0.3327); agreement=False
on/off net rating delta +13.374; n_active=53, n_missed=19
both estimators carry the ROSTER CONFOUND both source files label explicitly: why a player missed is entangled with injury clustering, rest, blowout pulls, and replacement lineup -- none controlled. NOT a causal player-impact estimate.; the feeds cover DIFFERENT seasons (Elo on/off = 2024-25; raw with/without = 2025-26), so agreement is DIRECTIONAL corroboration, not a paired estimate.; estimator (a) is win prob vs a league-average opponent on a neutral floor; estimator (b) is raw team win-rate active-vs-missed. The two axes are related but not the same scale.; Per team, the win-prob dependence on its single most-indispensable player, under two independent estimators, with a cross-method agreement flag.
Highest/lowest scoring pairing (pooled 2023-24..2025-26)
highest: vs LAL mean_total 253.5 (n=6); lowest: vs ORL mean_total 221.2 (n=10)
NOT a prediction of any future matchup (describes games already played); NOT a home/away split (per-player table carries no venue flag); NOT opponent-adjusted / strength-of-schedule (raw pooled means only); pairing reported only where n_meetings >= 2