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Descriptive only — no edge claimed. These are measured team rates, not projections.
NBA teams · NBA · as of 2026-04-12

Orlando Magic

Descriptive card · conservative measured rates.
seasons covered
3
Higher than 50% of 30 in pack
games total
238
Higher than 22% of 30 in pack
ppg latest season
115.5
Higher than 53% of 30 in pack
pace proxy latest season
102.9
Higher than 72% of 30 in pack
top contributor
Paolo Banchero
top contributor pra /36
37.3
Higher than 65% of 30 in pack
top contributor minutes
6621.6
Higher than 48% of 30 in pack
Bars show where this card sits within its own pack (30 nba teams), by simple rank of the measured value. Higher is only higher -- no quality judgement is implied.

What stands out

  • 37.3 combined points, rebounds and assists per 36 minutes.
  • 6,621.6 minutes makes it a durable, not a flash, sample.
  • The team scored 115.5 per game on a 102.9 pace proxy.
Reading note

The 'top contributor' is the player with the most total minutes for that team across the 3-season sample, not necessarily its best or highest-scoring player. PRA-per-36 sums points, rebounds, and assists per 36 minutes -- a raw box rate, not an impact metric. ppg_latest_season and pace_proxy_latest_season are single-season figures while games_total spans three seasons, and pace_proxy is a proxy, not official possession-based pace. The manifest is descriptive_only, with no schedule, opponent, or roster-continuity adjustment.

Also measured elsewhere

All 30 team cards carry these 3 joins.

Schedule Fatigue Tax (latest season)
-0.2803 pts/100 ORtg (2025-26)
b2b_freq=0.162, b2b_games=12, descriptive composite/36=-0.0510
per-36 deltas are raw pooled means, NOT roster/opponent/minutes/home-away adjusted.; the three density classes (b2b, 3in4, 4in6) OVERLAP and are NON-additive; this formula deliberately uses b2b alone -- summing b2b+3in4+4in6 would double-count congestion.; the -1.73 pts/100 anchor is a single-corpus CONFIRMED_LOCAL effect: a DESCRIPTIVE tax, not a forecast, and not re-tested here.; b2b_ortg_effect sign is normalized to a fatigue penalty (negative), matching the negative composite_per36 delta and the mechanism framing; the receipt labels its magnitude 'rested minus b2b'.
Load-Bearing Index (most-indispensable player)
Elo on/off: Franz Wagner (delta_winprob +0.3816); raw with/without: Moritz Wagner (delta_win_rate +0.1833); agreement=False
on/off net rating delta +13.851; n_active=36, n_missed=5
both estimators carry the ROSTER CONFOUND both source files label explicitly: why a player missed is entangled with injury clustering, rest, blowout pulls, and replacement lineup -- none controlled. NOT a causal player-impact estimate.; the feeds cover DIFFERENT seasons (Elo on/off = 2024-25; raw with/without = 2025-26), so agreement is DIRECTIONAL corroboration, not a paired estimate.; estimator (a) is win prob vs a league-average opponent on a neutral floor; estimator (b) is raw team win-rate active-vs-missed. The two axes are related but not the same scale.; Per team, the win-prob dependence on its single most-indispensable player, under two independent estimators, with a cross-method agreement flag.
Highest/lowest scoring pairing (pooled 2023-24..2025-26)
highest: vs SAC mean_total 233.4 (n=5); lowest: vs POR mean_total 206.33 (n=6)
NOT a prediction of any future matchup (describes games already played); NOT a home/away split (per-player table carries no venue flag); NOT opponent-adjusted / strength-of-schedule (raw pooled means only); pairing reported only where n_meetings >= 2